What are the current odds for "U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 55.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $71.1K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 55.5% or No shares at 44.5%. The market has $8.4K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 9 months (Dec 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarkettech

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

Updated Today

Congress faces mounting pressure to regulate artificial intelligence, but markets give only a 40% probability that comprehensive U.S. AI safety legislation passes before 2027. With AI development accelerating, this regulatory race matters for tech companies' compliance costs and the government's ability to manage emerging risks from advanced AI systems.

Current Probability

55.5%-0.01%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$1.80 return per $1

If No wins

$2.25 return per $1

Price History