What are the current odds for "Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 2.8% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $203.0K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 2.8% or No shares at 97.2%. The market has $11.5K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve Ended (Dec 31, 2025). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarketpolitics

Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?

Updated Today

Ukraine's delayed elections remain one of Europe's most consequential political questions as the country navigates wartime governance challenges. Markets currently give only a 7% chance Ukraine holds elections by June 30, 2026, reflecting widespread skepticism about near-term electoral feasibility.

Current Probability

2.8%-0.01%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$35.71 return per $1

If No wins

$1.03 return per $1