What are the current odds for "Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 17.0% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $167.7K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 17.0% or No shares at 83.0%. The market has $8.9K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 9 months (Dec 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarketpolitics

Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?

Updated Today

Ukrainian elections held by December 31, 2026, are given a 23% chance by markets, reflecting skepticism that wartime conditions or political priorities would allow full electoral processes within that window.

Current Probability

17.0%-0.03%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$5.88 return per $1

If No wins

$1.20 return per $1