What are the current odds for "Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 26.0% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $82.4K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 26.0% or No shares at 74.0%. The market has $13.0K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 9 months (Dec 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarkettech

Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?

Updated Today

Ukraine's military reforms remain a critical point of international negotiation as the country defends against Russian invasion. Markets currently assign just 26% odds that Ukraine will agree to limit its armed forces before 2027—a key metric for potential peace talks and reconstruction funding.

Current Probability

26.0%

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$3.85 return per $1

If No wins

$1.35 return per $1