Updated Today
Space FDV faces a high bar: reaching a $40M fully-diluted valuation within one day of its token launch in 2027 would require significant demand. Markets give this just a 21% chance, reflecting skepticism about immediate post-launch momentum.
Current Probability
If Yes wins
$4.00 return per $1
If No wins
$1.33 return per $1
Price Changes
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
PM·$74.24M volLakers vs. Rockets
PM·$4.65M volTrail Blazers vs. Nets
PM·$2.20M volTrail Blazers vs. Pacers
PM·$1.70M volWill Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?
PM·$2.04M volSpread: Rockets (-1.5)
PM·$938.2K volSpread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-7.5)
PM·$912.5K volSpread: Rockets (-8.5)
PM·$831.6K volSpread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)
PM·$715.4K volSpread: Trail Blazers (-12.5)
PM·$679.0K volSpread: Rockets (-1.5)
PM·$628.8K volSpread: Trail Blazers (-14.5)
PM·$506.8K vol
KalshiSpaceX Starship Launch by Mar 31 2026?
Outcome: Before April
KalshiSpaceX Starship Launch by Apr 30 2026
Outcome: Before May
KalshiSpaceX Launches in March
Outcome: Above 16
KalshiSpaceX Launches in March
Outcome: Above 14
KalshiSpaceX Launches in March
Outcome: Above 15
KalshiHow many launches will SpaceX have in March?
Outcome: Above 18
