What are the current odds for "Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 8.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $65.8K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 8.5% or No shares at 91.5%. The market has $23.0K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 3 months (Jun 30, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarkettech

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?

Updated Today

Spain's Socialist Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez appears politically secure through mid-2026, with markets assigning just a 9% chance he loses office by June 30. His coalition government's stability directly affects Spain's economic policy and EU influence, making his tenure relevant to European political observers.

Current Probability

8.5%-0.01%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$11.76 return per $1

If No wins

$1.09 return per $1