Updated Today
Meta "Mango" model released by June 30? is currently trading at 39.5% on Polymarket, with $2,357 in total trading volume. Track live odds, price history, and compare across prediction market platforms.
Current Probability
If Yes wins
$2.53 return per $1
If No wins
$1.65 return per $1
Price Changes
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
PM·$74.24M volLakers vs. Rockets
PM·$4.65M volTrail Blazers vs. Nets
PM·$2.20M volSpread: Trail Blazers (-16.5)
PM·$1.89M volTrail Blazers vs. Pacers
PM·$1.70M volWill Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?
PM·$2.04M volSpread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)
PM·$1.00M volSpread: Rockets (-1.5)
PM·$938.2K volSpread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-7.5)
PM·$912.5K volSpread: Rockets (-8.5)
PM·$831.6K volWill Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?
PM·$2.29M volEdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
PM·$4.70M vol
KalshiWill Meta release A model called Llama 5 or greater before Jan 2027?
Outcome: Before 2027
KalshiWill Meta have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?
Outcome: Meta
KalshiWill an AI model using neuralese recurrence be first released to the public before 2027?
Outcome: Before 2027
