Updated Today
Crypto markets estimate only a 12% probability that a major centralized exchange becomes insolvent during 2026. This reflects relative stability in the sector following earlier high-profile collapses, though systemic risks remain.
Current Probability
If Yes wins
$8.33 return per $1
If No wins
$1.14 return per $1
Price Changes
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
PM·$19.10M volWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?
PM·$5.82M volWill Iran strike Israel on March 10?
PM·$23.08M volLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A
PM·$5.83M volSpurs vs. Clippers
PM·$4.94M volLakers vs. Heat
PM·$4.82M volClippers vs. Pelicans
PM·$4.72M volLoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group B
PM·$4.22M volWarriors vs. Celtics
PM·$3.52M volMagic vs. Hawks
PM·$3.48M volSuns vs. Timberwolves
PM·$3.38M volCeltics vs. Grizzlies
PM·$3.18M vol