What are the current odds for "Iran coup attempt by June 30?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 26.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $289.9K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Iran coup attempt by June 30?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 26.5% or No shares at 73.5%. The market has $23.0K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 3 months (Jun 30, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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Iran coup attempt by June 30?

Updated Today

Iran's political instability has sparked repeated speculation about potential regime change. Markets currently assign a 25% probability of a coup attempt by mid-2026, reflecting genuine geopolitical uncertainty but also skepticism about imminent violent upheaval.

Current Probability

26.5%-0.01%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$3.77 return per $1

If No wins

$1.36 return per $1