What are the current odds for "Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 13.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $443.1K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 13.5% or No shares at 86.5%. The market has $80.3K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 3 months (Jun 30, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?

Updated Today

Escalating Middle East tensions have raised concerns about potential military intervention in Iran's nuclear program. Markets assign just a 19% probability that France, UK, or Germany will strike Iran by June 2026, reflecting diplomatic efforts but underlying geopolitical risks.

Current Probability

13.5%-0.01%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$7.41 return per $1

If No wins

$1.16 return per $1