What are the current odds for "Human moon landing in 2026?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 3.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $1.88M in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Human moon landing in 2026?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 3.5% or No shares at 96.5%. The market has $37.3K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 9 months (Dec 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarkettech

Human moon landing in 2026?

Updated Today

Despite NASA's Artemis program aiming for lunar return, markets assign only a 5% probability to a crewed moon landing in 2026. Technical delays and funding challenges have pushed timelines beyond this window.

Current Probability

3.5%+0.01%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$28.17 return per $1

If No wins

$1.04 return per $1

Compare on Other Platforms

Kalshi

Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?

Outcome: United States

70.0%

$53.7K vol

Kalshi

Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?

Outcome: China

28.0%

$33.1K vol

++0.01% 24h

Price History

Market Stats

Open Interest$37.3K

24h Volume$7.2K

Total Volume$1.88M

Liquidity$37.3K

Ends9 months

End DateDec 31, 2026

Price Changes

1 hour+0.00%

24 hours+0.01%

7 days+0.02%

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