What are the current odds for "Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 13.0% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $114.8K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 13.0% or No shares at 87.0%. The market has $10.5K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 3 months (Jun 30, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarkettech

Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain?

Updated Today

Bahrain's King Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa has ruled the Gulf nation since 1999, but markets give only a 9% chance he'll be ousted by mid-2026. His regime faces persistent criticism over human rights and regional tensions, though succession remains uncertain.

Current Probability

13.0%

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$7.69 return per $1

If No wins

$1.15 return per $1

Price History