What are the current odds for "Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?"?

As of July 2026, prediction markets give this a 98.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $31.6K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 98.5% or No shares at 1.5%. The market has $13.9K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 5 months (Dec 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarketother

Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?

Updated 1 month ago

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic achieves a public valuation of $500 billion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $500 billion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Currently 98.5% on Polymarket, with $31,603 in total trading volume.

Current Probability

98.5%

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$1.02 return per $1

If No wins

$66.67 return per $1

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Resolution Criteria

From Polymarket

To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by Anthropic or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.