Updated Today
Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has faced mounting pressure to call an election, but markets currently give another Canada election by June 30, 2026 just a 9% chance. A snap election would require a political crisis or formal dissolution, unlikely given the fixed election date framework.
Current Probability
If Yes wins
$14.29 return per $1
If No wins
$1.08 return per $1
Price Changes
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 15)
PM·$4.37M volIslanders vs. Senators
PM·$988.1K volSenators vs. Capitals
PM·$795.3K volWill Trump visit China by April 30?
PM·$2.20M volWill Trump visit China by March 31?
PM·$3.49M volKigali 2: Marco Trungelliti vs Marco Cecchinato
PM·$203.2K volIslanders vs. Senators: O/U 5.5
PM·$189.3K volTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
PM·$2.15M volTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?
PM·$1.02M volTrump out as President by March 31?
PM·$8.07M volMiami Open: Janice Tjen vs Yulia Putintseva
PM·$185.1K volTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
PM·$556.8K volUkraine Election by Mar 31 2026
Ukraine election called by Jun 30, 2026
French election called by June 30, 2026?
Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?
Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?
