What are the current odds for "2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 8.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $128.6K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 8.5% or No shares at 91.5%. The market has $27.2K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 3 months (Jun 30, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

Updated Today

Suez Canal transit volumes are critical to global shipping costs and geopolitical stability, with disruptions cascading across supply chains worldwide. Markets give only a 10% chance that over 2,000 container ships will transit in the first half of 2026, suggesting expectations of continued constraints.

Current Probability

8.5%

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$11.76 return per $1

If No wins

$1.09 return per $1