Wisconsin Governor Election Winner
Updated 5h ago
Market analysis
Analysis generated Aug 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Crowley at 81% to Tiffany's 20%, but recent polls paint a far tighter matchup. Platform Communications (August 13) shows Crowley leading by just 4 points (48-44), while Pollsmax's aggregate gives Crowley only 54.5% win probability. Crowley won a narrow primary over democratic socialist Francesca Hong, while Trump-backed Tiffany won his Republican primary comfortably—suggesting underlying strength among the Republican base in a swing state known for close elections. The market is pricing a decisive Democratic victory where polling indicates a genuine toss-up dynamic.
As of September 11, 2026, the Polymarket odds for Wisconsin Governor Election Winner are: David Crowley (D): 83%, Tom Tiffany (R): 18%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Wisconsin Governor Election Winner is currently listed on Polymarket. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability — we surface the same event on Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun when it's listed on more than one platform.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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