Gadi Eizenkot
Benjamin Netanyahu
Naftali Bennett
Yossi Cohen
Yuli EdelsteinPrime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
Updated 2h ago
If [outcome] becomes Prime Minister of Israel as a result of government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election and meets all constitutional requirements before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Market analysis
Analysis generated Sep 16, 2026
Kalshi prices Gadi Eisenkot at 53% to become Israel's next prime minister, reflecting his lead over Benjamin Netanyahu in head-to-head preference polls, where the former military chief has consistently polled 5–15 points ahead amid voter fatigue with Netanyahu's corruption charges and the extended Gaza war. However, the market's confidence in Eisenkot faces a structural barrier: no bloc commands a 61-seat Knesset majority in recent polls, meaning coalition negotiations will determine the final outcome regardless of who wins the popular preference for the role, giving Netanyahu a potential path to forming government even if trailing Eisenkot in direct matchups.
As of October 11, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election? are: Gadi Eizenkot: 42%, Benjamin Netanyahu: 35%, Naftali Bennett: 11%, Yossi Cohen: 5%, Yuli Edelstein: 4%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election? is currently listed on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability — we surface the same event on Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun when it's listed on more than one platform.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
5pp3pp5pp4pp5pp3pp
