Updated 2 months ago
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Vivek Ramaswamy in the 2026 Ohio Republican gubernatorial primary is 80% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
What happened
Resolved 2026-05-05
Vivek Ramaswamy won the Ohio Republican primary for governor on May 5, 2026, capturing 82.5% of the vote and sweeping all 88 counties. The biotech billionaire and 2024 presidential candidate decisively defeated political novice Casey Putsch, confirming what markets had priced at 100% the day before.
Before Ohio Republican Governor primary: Vivek Ramaswamy vote percent resolved, the final Kalshi odds were: At least 80%: 100%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
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Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
Winner: At least 80%
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