Updated Today
If U.S. Treasury Daily Yield Curve Rate (30 Yr) for June 30, 2026 (end of Q2 2026) is above 5.50%, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of April 1, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will UST Par Yield Curve (30Y) for Q2 2026 be above 4.00%? are: . These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will UST Par Yield Curve (30Y) for Q2 2026 be above 4.00%? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.