Updated Today
If U.S. Treasury Daily Yield Curve Rate (10 Yr) for June 30, 2026 (end of Q2 2026) is above 5.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of April 5, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will UST Par Yield Curve (10Y) for Q2 2026 be above 3.60%? are: Above 4.00%: 99%, Above 5.00%: 4%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will UST Par Yield Curve (10Y) for Q2 2026 be above 3.60%? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.