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If US tariff revenue for 2026 is above $80 billion, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 31, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will US tariff revenue for 2026 be above $100 billion? are: Above $80 billion: 89%, Above $100 billion: 87%, Above $125 billion: 84%, Above $150 billion: 74%, Above $200 billion: 56%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will US tariff revenue for 2026 be above $100 billion? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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