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If the President or Congress waives or ends income taxes for any year on persons earning less than $150,000 a year before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of April 6, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will Trump waive taxes for people earning under $150k? are: Before 2027: 7%, Before June 2026: 2%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will Trump waive taxes for people earning under $150k? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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