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If the United States submits a notice of withdrawal from the USMCA before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of April 7, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will Trump try to leave the USMCA before 2027? are: Before 2027: 26%, Before July 2026: 10%, Before 2026: 3%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will Trump try to leave the USMCA before 2027? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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