Updated Today
If the President pardons, commutes the sentence of, or gives reprieve to above 999 persons after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of April 7, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will Trump pardon between 100 and 499 people before Jan 1, 2027? are: 500 to 999: 30%, 100 to 499: 28%, 50 to 99: 18%, 1000 or more: 14%, 5 to 9: 4%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will Trump pardon between 100 and 499 people before Jan 1, 2027? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
Buy