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If martial law has been imposed in the United States before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 28, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will Trump impose martial law before his term ends? are: Before Jan 20, 2029: 37%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will Trump impose martial law before his term ends? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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