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If the value added by Manufacturing to GDP in Q4 2028 is at least 13.1% (the value it was in Q1 2005), then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 26, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will Trump bring back manufacturing? are: Before 2029: 21%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will Trump bring back manufacturing? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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