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If Donald J. Trump is held liable for civil damages in any court for any action related to the Capitol Attack on January 6, 2021, before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 28, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will Trump be held liable for January 6th in civil court? are: Before his term ends: 25%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will Trump be held liable for January 6th in civil court? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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