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If the United States announces a new free trade agreement, multilateral trade agreement, trade framework, or economic cooperation arrangement with Cuba before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 28, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba before May 1, 2026? are: Before Jan 1, 2027: 79%, Before Aug 1, 2026: 71%, Before May 1, 2026: 34%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba before May 1, 2026? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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