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If Tom Steyer finishes in 3rd place in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of April 8, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will Alex Padilla finish 3rd in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? are: Tom Steyer: 26%, Eric Swalwell: 23%, Steve Hilton: 15%, Katie Porter: 12%, Chad Bianco: 4%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will Alex Padilla finish 3rd in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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