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If Tom Steyer and Matt Mahan advance in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of April 9, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will Chad Bianco and Matt Mahan be the nominees in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? are: Steve Hilton vs. Eric Swalwell: 25%, Steve Hilton vs. Tom Steyer: 24%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will Chad Bianco and Matt Mahan be the nominees in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.