Updated Today
If the yield curve par rate for 10-year U.S. treasury notes is above 4.64 % on Mar 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 30, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will the yield of 10-year U.S. treasury notes be between 4.26 and 4.28 on Mar 31, 2026? are: 4.35% to 4.37%: 22%, 4.32% to 4.34%: 19%, 4.38% to 4.4%: 13%, 4.29% to 4.31%: 8%, 4.41% to 4.43%: 2%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will the yield of 10-year U.S. treasury notes be between 4.26 and 4.28 on Mar 31, 2026? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.