Updated Today
If the yield curve par rate for 10-year U.S. treasury notes is above 4.62 % on Apr 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 28, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will the yield of 10-year U.S. treasury notes be between 4.24 and 4.26 on Apr 3, 2026? are: 4.45% to 4.47%: 15%, 4.42% to 4.44%: 14%, 4.48% to 4.5%: 11%, 4.39% to 4.41%: 9%, 4.63% or above: 6%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will the yield of 10-year U.S. treasury notes be between 4.24 and 4.26 on Apr 3, 2026? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.