Updated Today
If the yield curve par rate for 10-year U.S. treasury notes is above 4.53 % on Apr 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of April 9, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will the yield of 10-year U.S. treasury notes be between 4.15 and 4.17 on Apr 9, 2026? are: 4.3% to 4.32%: 12%, 4.51% to 4.53%: 2%, 4.27% to 4.29%: 2%, 4.54% or above: 2%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will the yield of 10-year U.S. treasury notes be between 4.15 and 4.17 on Apr 9, 2026? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.