Will the yield of 10-year U.S. treasury notes be between 4.12 and 4.14 on Apr 2, 2026?
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If the yield curve par rate for 10-year U.S. treasury notes is above 4.50 % on Apr 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of April 2, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will the yield of 10-year U.S. treasury notes be between 4.12 and 4.14 on Apr 2, 2026? are: 4.33% to 4.35%: 32%, 4.3% to 4.32%: 16%, 4.36% to 4.38%: 12%, 4.39% to 4.41%: 10%, 4.27% to 4.29%: 8%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will the yield of 10-year U.S. treasury notes be between 4.12 and 4.14 on Apr 2, 2026? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.