Updated Today
If the end-of-day S&P 500 index value on April 17, 2026 is above 7174.9999, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of April 12, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will the S&P 500 be between 6475 and 6499.9999 on Apr 17, 2026 at 4pm EDT? are: 6,925 to 6,949.9999: 22%, 6,700 to 6,724.9999: 14%, 6,775 to 6,799.9999: 11%, 6,474.9999 or below: 7%, 7,175 or above: 6%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will the S&P 500 be between 6475 and 6499.9999 on Apr 17, 2026 at 4pm EDT? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.