Will the President's approval rating be below 40.2 according to RealClearPolitics?
Updated Today
If the President's approval rating is above 41.9% at 11:00 AM ET on April 10, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of April 4, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will the President's approval rating be below 40.2 according to RealClearPolitics? are: Below 40.2: 54%, 40.5 to 40.7: 18%, 41.1 to 41.3: 16%, 40.8 to 41.0: 10%, 40.2 to 40.4: 9%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will the President's approval rating be below 40.2 according to RealClearPolitics? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.