Will the margin of victory for Ed Gallrein in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary be between 10% and 15%?
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If the margin of victory for Thomas Massie in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary falls within 5% to 10%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of April 2, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will the margin of victory for Ed Gallrein in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary be between 10% and 15%? are: Ed Gallrein, 0-5%: 12%, Thomas Massie, ≥20%: 12%, Thomas Massie, 0-5%: 12%, Thomas Massie, 10-15%: 11%, Thomas Massie, 15-20%: 11%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will the margin of victory for Ed Gallrein in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary be between 10% and 15%? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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