Will the margin of victory for Carlos Álvarez in the first round of the Peru presidential election be between 0% and 5%?
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If the margin of victory for Ricardo Belmont in the first round of the Peru presidential election falls within 5% to 10%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of April 12, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will the margin of victory for Carlos Álvarez in the first round of the Peru presidential election be between 0% and 5%? are: Keiko Fujimori, 0-5%: 34%, Keiko Fujimori, 5-10%: 14%, Keiko Fujimori, 10-15%: 6%, Keiko Fujimori, ≥15%: 4%, Carlos Álvarez, 0-5%: 3%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will the margin of victory for Carlos Álvarez in the first round of the Peru presidential election be between 0% and 5%? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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