Updated Today
If Tarcísio de Freitas wins the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 29, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? are: Flávio Bolsonaro: 46%, Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva: 46%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.