Updated Today
If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 2.5, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 24, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will **real GDP** increase by more than 1.0% in Q2 2026? are: Above 1.0%: 87%, Above 1.5%: 69%, Above 2.0%: 51%, Above 2.5%: 37%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will **real GDP** increase by more than 1.0% in Q2 2026? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
Buy