Updated Today
If Pauline Hanson's One Nation wins the 2026 Farrer by-election in Australia, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 27, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will the Labor Party win the 2026 Farrer by-election? are: One Nation: 47%, Michelle Milthorpe: 37%, Liberal Party: 11%, National Party: 7%, Labor Party: 5%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will the Labor Party win the 2026 Farrer by-election? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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