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If Ken Paxton drops out of the 2026 Texas Senate runoff before May 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of April 7, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will Chad Bianco drop out of the California Governor primary before Jun 2, 2026? are: Janet Mills: 45%, James Fishback: 37%, Chad Bianco: 12%, Eric Swalwell: 11%, Ken Paxton: 8%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will Chad Bianco drop out of the California Governor primary before Jun 2, 2026? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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