Will it be reported that at least one million Americans have received checks of at least $1000 directly attributable to tariff revenue?
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If at least one million Americans have received payments of at least $1,000 directly attributable to tariff revenue is reported by any of the Source Agencies before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of April 7, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will it be reported that at least one million Americans have received checks of at least $1000 directly attributable to tariff revenue? are: Before 2027: 15%, Before August: 7%, Before July: 4%, Before June: 2%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will it be reported that at least one million Americans have received checks of at least $1000 directly attributable to tariff revenue? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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