Will Eric Swalwell receive between 8% and 12% of the popular vote in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary?
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If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Eric Swalwell in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary is 32% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of April 12, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will Eric Swalwell receive between 8% and 12% of the popular vote in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? are: Below 4%: 90%, 4% - 8%: 6%, 8% - 12%: 5%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will Eric Swalwell receive between 8% and 12% of the popular vote in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
Buy