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If Don Bacon leaves or announces that they are leaving the Republican party before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 25, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will Marjorie Taylor Greene leave the Republican party? are: Lisa Murkowski: 21%, John Fetterman: 19%, Marjorie Taylor Greene: 18%, Thomas Massie: 12%, Henry Cuellar: 10%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene leave the Republican party? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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