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If the U.S. sovereign wealth fund has been created and employs, engages as an individual contractor, is led by, or is managed by Chamath Palihapitiya before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 28, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will Bill Ackman join Trump's sovereign wealth fund? are: Chamath Palihapitiya: 20%, Bill Ackman: 14%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will Bill Ackman join Trump's sovereign wealth fund? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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