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If Jacob Ryan wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Senate Oregon Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 30, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will Jeff Merkley be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in Oregon? are: Jeff Merkley: 97%, Jacob Ryan: 5%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will Jeff Merkley be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in Oregon? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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