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If the winner of the next Polish general election in 2027 is Third Way, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 25, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Who will win the next Polish general election? are: Civic Coalition: 50%, Law and Justice: 49%, Confederation: 7%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Who will win the next Polish general election? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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