Question 1

What are the current odds for Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)?

Accepted Answer

As of March 25, 2026, the Polymarket odds for Fed decisions (Apr-Jul) are: Pause–Pause–Pause: 63%, Pause–Pause–Cut: 17%, Cut–Cut–Pause: 16%, Cut–Pause–Cut: 16%, Pause–Cut–Pause: 14%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.

Question 2

Where can I bet on Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)?

Accepted Answer

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul) is currently available on Polymarket. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.

Question 3

How are Fed decisions (Apr-Jul) prediction market odds calculated?

Accepted Answer

Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

All Outcomes

Pause–Pause–Pause

Pause–Pause–Cut

Frequently Asked Questions

Cut–Cut–Pause

Cut–Pause–Cut

Pause–Cut–Pause

Pause–Cut–Cut

Cut–Cut–Cut

Cut–Pause–Pause