What are the current odds for "Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 3.0% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $434.9K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 3.0% or No shares at 97.0%. The market has $18.1K in liquidity.

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Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?

Updated Today

Turkish-Iranian tensions over Kurdish militants and regional influence have simmered for years, with military strikes a recurring threat. Markets currently assign a 4% probability to a Turkish strike on Iran by month-end, reflecting low but non-zero escalation risk.

Current Probability

3.0%

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$33.33 return per $1

If No wins

$1.03 return per $1